Russia, which is making a strategic retreat (solely to rearm the army) is actually continuing to bomb the civilian population in the cities.

“The reports we are seeing of a change in military leadership, and putting a general in charge who was responsible for the brutality and atrocities in Syria, shows that there’s going to be a continuation of what we’ve already seen on the ground in Ukraine and that’s what we are expecting,”

<see CNN article>

Fox News contributor Ret. Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg warns Vladimir Putin won’t give up an ‘inch’ of Ukraine <see “t. Gen. Kellogg: This doesn’t look very good” >

Evidence of massive crimes against humanity committed by Russia in Ukraine is beginning to emerge. This definitively clarifies the fact that it is not possible to enter into treaties with a Russia ruled by Putin.

Putin has therefore become indefensible even by those who previously did not take a clear position: Politicians and companies have switched to take sides against Putin.

International bodies have begun in-depth investigations into the crimes committed by Russia, which appear to be countless.

“The reports we are seeing of a change in military leadership, and putting a general in charge who was responsible for the brutality and atrocities in Syria, shows that there’s going to be a continuation of what we’ve already seen on the ground in Ukraine and that’s what we are expecting,”

<see CNN article>

Fox News contributor Ret. Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg warns Vladimir Putin won’t give up an ‘inch’ of Ukraine <see “t. Gen. Kellogg: This doesn’t look very good” >

Since the end of March, Ukraine has gone into Russia’s counterattack, offering the possibility of ending Putin’s political career, and therefore the war. It becomes possible:

1) a counterattack on Ukrainian territory to free the territories taken by Russia

2) a counterattack on Russian territory to weaken the Russian army (so that it is no longer able to continue fighting).

We recall that a stalled situation would lead to a continuation of Russian domination over Ukraine, preventing the latter from resuming a normal life (and, for example, from accessing the sea).

In this phase Ukraine has, among other things, the need to be supplied with a different type of weapons, because its Army must pass from the guerrilla phase (in which it attacks enemy tanks), to a phase in which it it must attack the concentrations of the Russian Army that are formed near the border to restructure and recover forces (both on the Ukrainian side and on the Russian side).

In this new phase, Ukraine needs airplanes, a shield of “defense” rockets, powerful radars, etc …

That is, if Russia wants to dialogue with the world, it must have passed the Putin era. To achieve this, it is necessary to continue to press Russia so that the people in power and the population understand the damage that Putin is doing to them <see GCW article “the unsustainability of the war for Putin”>.

The problem is that we have always preferred to make choices to have an immediate advantage, without thinking about making decisions for the long term: we did not want to see Putin’s plan to expand Russia by blackmailing other nations, to achieve domination over ‘West (at least cheap.

The longer it takes before final decisions are made, the stronger Putin’s atomic threat becomes.

(it has already succeeded in the first phase of the war), otherwise Putin will invade a part of it (from Dombass to Odessa) making it impossible for the future life of the Ukrainians.

It is therefore necessary for the Ukrainians to be supplied with new weapons in order to resist the attacks of Russia (which, being in financial difficulties due to the measures imposed by the West, cannot afford to prolong the war for long).

If Putin is allowed to implement this second part of his plan to subjugate Ukraine, there is a point of no return, both for Ukraine and for other nations. Yet after almost two months of war, the West continues to waste time without seriously supporting Ukraine in this war.

Now they apologize, but they do it because they are forced: they have nevertheless proved to be “conniving” with Russia, and must be removed from public and private positions of power, otherwise they will resume operating with soft positions towards Putin.
An example is German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

We must not lose sight of the problems that a peace treaty that does not take into account other critical situations of global politics can create, such as bringing an advantage to the positions of other autocracies such as China and Iran.

For this reason it is not only necessary for the West to support Ukraine (with more aid than the current ones), but it is also necessary to put Putin in a position to be ousted from power in Russia (sanctions, information that makes people understand Russi what is really happening).

<see text “What can be done in the Russia-Ukraine conflict”>

It is necessary to realize that nothing can be the same as before this conflict: today it emerges that the problem arises from a previous situation that has never been modified. see GCW article “What is still possible to do”>

It is therefore necessary to understand how (and why) Governments have maintained for years a situation destined to lead to a tragedy, and then begin to reset global policies from the ground up to create a more stable peace situation (for example, create new forms of alliance that replace those that have totally failed today). <see GCW text “Some criticalities of the peace agreement”>

l

To achieve real peace it is necessary not only to restore the conditions prior to the conflict, but also to ensure that a new and better international political equilibrium is created in which it is no longer possible for some nations – basically autocratic regimes – to have leverage to to subdue other nations.

<see GCW text “What to do: the measures that you can (and necessary) take”>

Among other things, it is necessary that Russia undertakes to repay the damage created in Ukraine with its military intervention.

That is, if Russia wants to dialogue with the world, it must have passed the Putin era. To achieve this, it is necessary to continue to press Russia so that the people in power and the population understand the damage that Putin is doing to them <see GCW article “the unsustainability of the war for Putin”>.

There can be no peace treaty without a real guarantee. It is therefore necessary to find an able guarantor to be able to intervene if necessary: it must therefore be made up of several nations capable of implementing actions to force the parties to respect the treaty, or with the supply of weapons – if not a direct military intervention – in case the conflict reopens.

That is, it is necessary to take into account that there are currently more areas in which other conflicts similar to the Russia-Ukraine one could develop.
That is, in stipulating a peace treaty that puts an end to the current conflict, it is necessary to be sure that this treaty does not end up favoring nations like China and Iran.

It is a question of defining a new type of alliances to replace the current one, which have totally failed despite the fact that the current conflict has been foreseeable for many years. New alliances that are able to identify the new needs for a real global balance.

It should be remembered that, in order to maintain a condition of effective peace, the League of Nations was created specifically at the end of World War I, and the UN at the end of WW II. Today it is necessary to create a new form of alliance where such organizations have failed.

It is crucial that Russia, the population and people of power (Oligarchs, army officers, etc …) realize that they have to bring Putin down in order to get out of the current dramatic situation (due to the damage Putin is directly creating to Russia, imposition of measures by the West, dead soldiers, repression, inability to develop a technological industry, etc …).

It is necessary to threaten characters with sanctions and processes (Oligarchs, Hierarchs, Generals, etc …) and to promise them a recovery of their wealth and freedom in case they take away the support of Putin (and therefore indirectly contribute to Putin’s downfall, and at the end of the Russia-West conflict).

THE MORE TIME PASSES (AND THE UKRAINIANS CAN RESIST ALONE), THE MORE THE RISK OF A NUCLEAR CONFLICT DECREASES, as Putin has to let go, and cannot accuse real intervention by the West.

THE POSITION OF CHINA WITH RESPECT TO PUTIN IS BEING COMPLICATED FOR THE LAST ONE, as China could have benefited from a quick victory by Putin, and therefore a puppet government that ruled the Ukrainians.

But things got bad for Putin after the failure of the war-blitz by the Russian army: apparently the only solution is for Putin to insist on the “annexation” of Ukraine, but even if he succeeds, in the end it will remain only a desertified territory.

And that would be a major problem for China: with Putin’s kind of “victory” the world would begin to think that China could turn Taiwan into a series of ghost towns, and thus begin to protect Taiwan as it did not preventively with Ukraine (moreover, China is beginning to reflect on the consequences it would have to suffer if measures such as those that the West is taking towards Russia were taken against it).

¹<see these reflections “ https://youtu.be/Z8wORyZ74Vk?t=208>