<see GCW text “The need to create new alliances and new common policy“>
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1) IT IS NOT THE QUESTION OF A WAR BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE, but of how Putin’s “expansionism” (military and political) can evolve (and of “Axis” with China and Iran)
memories of the past have been lost.
inability to evaluate the cost/benefit – immediate advantages are chosen (illusion) unable to see the threats of the consequences..
2) IT CAN LEAD TO A NUCLEAR WAR.
It is therefore necessary to carefully evaluate “what can still be done” (but the problem is that most Nations do not realize that too little has been done, and that the question is the time factor is decisive).
<see GCW text “Peace enforcement phase (military and economic strategies)“>
<see GCW text “The obtuseness of the position of the west (in the post-war view)“>
► PUTIN IS NO LONGER CREDIBLE AS AN INTERLOCUTOR AND THEREFORE ANY AGREEMENT CANNOT BE ENTERED INTO WITH RUSSIA IN THE CURRENT POLITICAL ORDER.
► GUARANTOR OF THE TREATY. THERE CAN BE NO PEACE TREATY WITHOUT A REAL GUARANTEE
► IT IS NECESSARY TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE GLOBAL SITUATION, IN WHICH THERE ARE MORE AREAS IN WHICH OTHER CONFLICTS SIMILAR TO THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE ONE COULD DEVELOP.
► UKRAINE MUST OBTAIN EFFECTIVE INDEPENDENCE (SOVEREIGNTY)
